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Global Warming and the Sex Ratios of the Newborn in Thailand

อรวรรณ ศิริรัตน์พิริยะ; สมชัย บวรกิตติ; Orawan Siriratpiriya; Somchai Bovornkitti;
Date: 2553-03
Abstract
The impact of global warming on everything on Earth has been observed and reported by scientists from every corner of the world for an extended time. Among those phenomena have been the correlation of sex ratios at birth to increasing global temperatures. From known biological facts, sex determination can be genotypic (GSD) or temperature-dependent (TSD). A number of previous studies have suggested that TSD may be very common in many species of lower vertebrates, especially fish and reptiles, with increasing temperatures generally affecting the sex ratio of a species (leading to many males and few females). The most frequent citation is noted in a study directed by two Spanish researchers, Natalie Ospina-Alvarez and Francese Piferrer, reported under the title “temperature-dependent sex determination in fish revisited: prevalence, a single sex ratio response pattern, and possible effects in climate change,” published in the July 30, 2008 edition of the scientific journal Public Library of Science (PLoS ONE). They show that even small changes of just 1-2°C can significantly alter the sex ratio from 1:1 (males : females) to 3:1 in both freshwater and marine species. It is already known that high temperatures inhibit the synthesis of estrogens, which are essential for female sex differentiation in fish and reptiles. In mammals, under circumstances of ordinary temperature, male live births exceed those of females. In humans, the ratio of male births to total births also favor the same trend. It has been hypothesized that levels of steroid hormones (testosterone and estrogen) in both parents around the time of conception are positively associated with the offspring sex ratio (proportion of males at birth) of mammals, including humans. Some people, particularly women, in suboptimal health produce an excess of sons; thus, gonadal hormones are responsible for adaptive variation. While our findings of the comparative analysis on the secondary data obtained from the Thai Meteorological Department and from the National Statistical Office in the 16-year period 1993-2009 show that increasing temperatures result in an increased prevalence of newborn females over males. Details of complex analytic patterns are elaborated in the text.
Copyright ผลงานวิชาการเหล่านี้เป็นลิขสิทธิ์ของสถาบันวิจัยระบบสาธารณสุข หากมีการนำไปใช้อ้างอิง โปรดอ้างถึงสถาบันวิจัยระบบสาธารณสุข ในฐานะเจ้าของลิขสิทธิ์ตามพระราชบัญญัติสงวนลิขสิทธิ์สำหรับการนำงานวิจัยไปใช้ประโยชน์ในเชิงพาณิชย์
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