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Seroprevalence of Covid-19 Immunity (Anti-S, Anti-N and FRNT) and Evidence of Natural Infection in Thai Population in Order to Collect the Data for COVID-19 Prevention and Control

ยง ภู่วรวรรณ; Yong Poovorawan; หนึ่งฤทัย สุนทรวงศ์; Nungruthai Suntronwong; ภรจริม นิลยนิมิต; Pornjarim Nilyanimit; ศิรภา กลิ่นเฟื่อง; Sirapa Klinfueng; สิทธิชัย กนกอุดม; Sitthichai Kanokudom; สุวิชาดา อัศวโกสีย์; Suvichada Assawakosri;
Date: 2568-10
Abstract
COVID-19 is caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus. It was first discovered in December 2019. It remains a novel disease, and there is still limited knowledge, especially regarding immunity to new strains of SARS-CoV-2. Novel SARS-CoV-2 variants continue to emerge and spread within the population more than four years after their initial emergence. However, the number of SARS-CoV-2 infections may be underestimated. This underreporting is likely due to the widespread availability of rapid antigen tests, which enable self-testing during symptomatic periods and reduce the number of hospital visits or RT-PCR (reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction) confirmations recorded in public health statistics. Moreover, omicron infections often result in mild or asymptomatic cases, further contributing to underreporting. The detection of anti-nucleocapsid antibodies serves as a retrospective marker of SARS-CoV-2 infection, whereas anti-receptor binding domain (RBD) antibodies typically indicate infection, vaccination, or both. Therefore, assessing SARS-CoV-2 immunity is critical for accurately monitoring disease burden and providing insights into population-level immunity. Due to high global vaccine coverage and repeated waves of infection, population immunity has increased over time, though its heterogeneity remains dynamic across different age groups. Moreover, initial exposure to an early strain through vaccination or infection has shaped immunity by tending to enhance immune responses to past exposures more than to subsequent variant infections, a phenomenon known as immune imprinting. Additionally, the immune response in children remains poorly understood. Meanwhile, older adults are at a higher risk of severe COVID-19, often experiencing prolonged illness, critical complications, and increased mortality. These factors raise important questions about the existing immunity level in the population against recently circulating variants and whether children and adults should receive updated COVID-19 booster doses. Like other parts of the world, Thailand has experienced multiple waves of SARS-CoV- 2 variants. A previous study conducted between October 2022 and January 2023 reported that 72.4% of the population had infection-induced seroprevalence, while 97.4% possessed SARS-CoV-2 antibodies, suggesting prior infection, vaccination, or both. However, seroprotection against currently circulating variants remains unclear. Therefore, an extensive study of age-related immune responses in the post-COVID-19 pandemic era and their crossreactivity to recently circulating SARS-CoV-2 variants is needed. To address these gaps, we conducted a population-based serosurvey four years after the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic across twelve study sites in Thailand. This study aims to evaluate age-specific SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence, with a particular focus on children, and to assess the impact of SARS-CoV-2 exposure and vaccination on neutralizing activity against the wild-type (WT) and the recently circulating JN.1 variant across different age groups. We hypothesize that all age groups have continued to experience SARS-CoV-2 exposure, resulting in high seroprevalence across the population, and that differences in prior infection and vaccination history may contribute to the heterogeneity of neutralizing activity against the wild-type (WT) and JN.1 across age groups. Unlike previous studies in Thailand, this study was conducted between May and August 2024 and included samples from unvaccinated infants especially under the age of five years, and elderly individuals to represent a broader age range. It provides insights into age-related immunity patterns, cross-reactivity to currently circulating variants, and the infection landscape following the later Omicron wave. These findings will guide public health strategies in monitoring SARS-CoV-2 exposure, optimizing vaccination policies including booster dose recommendations and age-specific vaccine updates, and prioritizing vaccine distribution based on cost-effectiveness. As SARS-CoV-2 variants continue to emerge, the extent of their impact on shaping population immunity through repeated waves remains poorly understood. This study assessed age-specific immune responses and the effects of vaccination on neutralization against wild-type (WT) and JN.1 variants. We analyzed 4,371 serum samples from individuals aged 6 months–80 years (May-August 2024). We found that 95.1% of participants had detectable anti-N Ig, suggesting widespread prior infection. Among unvaccinated children (6 months–4 years), 96.5% exhibited anti-RBD or anti-N Ig antibodies mostly from asymptomatic infections. Neutralization against JN.1 did not significantly differ by age, but children aged 6 months–4 years exhibited higher JN.1 neutralization than WT, while individuals aged ≥12 years showed the opposite pattern. Unvaccinated individuals demonstrated stronger neutralization against JN.1, whereas vaccinated participants had lower neutralization against JN.1 relative to WT, regardless of vaccine dose. No significant differences in JN.1 neutralization were observed across vaccine doses or age groups. Although 86.5% of participants exhibited neutralizing activity against JN.1, the titers remained relatively low. These findings highlight that almost all children experienced asymptomatic SARSCoV-2 infection and suggest that natural exposure maintains immunity in adults. Infectiondriven boosting may improve community-wide protection and alleviate immune imprinting, offering key insights for optimizing vaccine strategies.
Copyright ผลงานวิชาการเหล่านี้เป็นลิขสิทธิ์ของสถาบันวิจัยระบบสาธารณสุข หากมีการนำไปใช้อ้างอิง โปรดอ้างถึงสถาบันวิจัยระบบสาธารณสุข ในฐานะเจ้าของลิขสิทธิ์ตามพระราชบัญญัติสงวนลิขสิทธิ์สำหรับการนำงานวิจัยไปใช้ประโยชน์ในเชิงพาณิชย์
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